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The state of our economy and its engines, 2022

EditorialThe state of our economy and its engines, 2022

Today, just a few days before Independence Day 2022, we are much better off than we were two years ago when we were in the full grip of the Covid-19 pandemic. A popular independence song says “we’ve come a long way”, and we certainly have since that day when the head of the World Health Organization, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, declared that the world had to shut down to stop the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus.

The present government, under the leadership of Hon. John Briceño, has won considerable relief for the country with the conversion of the Super Bond, an albatross, into the Blue Bond, a conservation agreement that has won acclaim across the globe. The previous government claims that they did all the groundwork, that the new government only had to sign on the dotted line, but the people don’t care a whit about that. We remember that a PUP government got us into the mess, and a UDP government chose to kick it down the road, a decision which cost us hundreds of millions of dollars. We are thankful that where our foreign debt is concerned, we can breathe a little easier.

All indicators say our economy, which was not in a good place prior to the pandemic, is yet to get back to where it was in March 2020. Our country had experienced three successive quarters of diminished growth in 2019, and by the year of the pandemic, a single engine, tourism, was supplying 50% of the power to our economy. The citrus trees were bare, farmed shrimp were dying, and the oil wells in Spanish Lookout were down to a trickle. Banana, sugar, and marine production were steady, and unspectacular. Only tourism continued to grow.

Throughout 2022 the tourism industry has been rebounding, while most of our other main industries remained stable, and oil production continued to dwindle. The proposed new growth industry, marijuana, has been put on pause, but livestock production is on the increase, and so is the savior of our educated young people, BPOs.

There are several initiatives that are positively impacting our standard of living. Looking at the most important ones, the GOB has increased support for small entrepreneurs in the urban and farming sectors, starter houses are being built at heavily subsidized prices for financially deprived Belizeans, and the government is working hard to provide house lots and small plots for landless Belizeans.

On the eve of Independence Day # 41, our economy isn’t firing on all cylinders, and no one blames the present government, when all the factors are considered. The PUP was elected to make all of us win, and effectively the party has three years to deliver on that promise, the first two having been spent on getting us to where we were pre-pandemic. With 60% poverty in the country, the people desperately need their government to deliver.

A better path to satisfy our immediate needs

Forty-one years after independence, Belize still can’t meet the basic needs for good food and shelter for the majority of its people, and that many years of failure should have told us that our economic model doesn’t work. Incredibly, many near to or in the power structure of our country insist that we need to attract more foreign investors to Belize, when all the main engines of our economy are already either largely or wholly owned/controlled by foreigners.

We have been severely burnt by foreign investment at times, our worst case of foreign investment regret being the BTL case, where foreigners came in and took over a company we had built, and then trampled us. We have done much better with public borrowing from abroad, to build roads and bridges and other necessary infrastructure.

Many of our farmers wish we had developed our agro-industries in a way similar to how the fishing industry was developed, with Belizean money. Our leaders argue that growing from the ground up is slow, and the needs of our country’s more deprived citizens must be addressed quickly. For our immediacy, they say we can’t do without private foreign investment, and we have seen our leaders embarrass themselves chasing after foreigners for their money for the quick fix.

It behooves our leaders to get a better understanding of foreign investors. Their business is to make money for their shareholders. Their business is to gobble up the lion’s share, while we scramble for the crumbs that they can’t prevent from falling off the table. The end is always the same. They take the wealth, a few local elite enjoy the sweets, and the masses get stuck in hand-to-mouth jobs.

Foreign investment does have a role to play in our country, but this independence is about us, and we had better get it in our heads that the present formula isn’t serving Belize. In this present economic system, we sell our raw goods and prized environment to earn foreign dollars, and then we turn around and waste the little we get on imported food and luxuries, instead of investing it in the tools of production. In this present economic system, our government has difficulty enacting a $5 minimum wage law.

We need to change course, find a better way to address our urgent needs. The GOB needs to establish/invest in farms, get directly involved in the production of food, and sell it at heavily subsidized prices to lower-income families. That would ensure that our people are eating wholesome food, food that our country doesn’t have to expend US dollars to buy. We shouldn’t worry about cutting out our Mennonite group. They can take care of themselves. We shouldn’t worry about our small farmers either. Lower-income families aren’t buying their products anyway. Lower-income families are buying Ramen, and chicken sausage.

The GOB needs to start building homes for lower-income families out of local materials. We must establish hemp farms and explore the utilization of unpopular woods, and our abundant clays. We shouldn’t worry about our business people who import cement and steel. Lower-income families can’t buy their materials anyway. We shouldn’t worry about sales of readymade Mennonite houses. Lower- income families can’t afford to buy those anyway. We must expand the beautiful starter homes program.

We can do it. There are Belizeans who have the know-how, and we can find the labor. One source is the Kolbe Foundation. While continuing the present programs at the institution for our men and women who have run afoul of the law, we can also put them to work on these projects, to pay for their keep AND make restitution to those persons they have wronged.

Police constables, messengers and lower-tier clerks in the public service, trainee teachers, laborers, domestic workers, shop employees, and the unemployed are the groups that would qualify for the heavily subsidized food. These initiatives will have direct, positive impact on our standard of living without upsetting our economy where it works for some. Sufficient wholesome food and good housing will translate to better health, and healthier people will do better in school and at work.

The answers to our problems are within, not without. Happy Independence Day, Belize!

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